The matchup most followers have been ready for many of the season begins Monday evening when the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder host the San Antonio Spurs in Sport 1 of the Western Convention Finals. The groups had one of the best information within the NBA within the common season, with Oklahoma Metropolis ending 64-18 and San Antonio going 62-20. It is also a matchup of superstars, with OKC’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander incomes his second straight MVP award Sunday and Spurs huge man Victor Wembanyama ending third in voting. Each have been a dominant forces within the 2026 NBA Playoffs. The Spurs gained 4 of 5 conferences between the groups within the common season, however Oklahoma Metropolis is a 6.5-point house favourite for Sport 1 within the newest NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.
San Antonio’s De’Aaron Fox (ankle) and Luke Kornet (foot) are each listed as questionable — however each performed in Friday’s clincher towards Minnesota — whereas OKC will welcome again Jalen Williams, who’s off the harm report after lacking six video games with a hamstring harm. We’re providing up the NBA greatest bets for Monday’s Spurs vs. Thunder Sport 1 utilizing the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each NBA sport 10,000 instances. The mannequin has returned effectively over $10,000 in betting revenue for $100 gamers on its top-rated NBA picks over the previous eight-plus seasons.
The mannequin entered the second spherical of the 2026 NBA playoffs on a scorching 26-9 roll (74%) on top-rated NBA unfold picks this season. Anybody following its NBA betting recommendation at sportsbooks and on betting apps may have seen large returns. So let’s dive into one of the best NBA bets right this moment for Sport 7 with all odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
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NBA Playoffs picks, greatest bets for Monday, Might 18
- Underneath 221.5
- Jalen Williams Over 15.5 factors
- Victor Wembanyama Underneath 12.5 rebounds
Underneath 221.5
Both of these teams can score a ton of points, but they’re also two of the top defensive teams in the NBA. They are in the top three in playoff scoring, averaging a combined 238 points per game, but they allow an average of just 207 combined. The SportsLine model expects the defenses to prevail in Game 1, as it projects the teams will total almost 215 points. Under 221.5 is hitting in 63% of simulations. San Antonio is 52-42 to the Under this season, and the Under has hit in the past six meetings between these teams in Oklahoma City.
Jalen Williams Over 15.5 points
Williams has played just twice in the playoffs, missing the past six games, but he averaged 20.5 points in those two games and scored 17.1 per contest during the regular season. The 2025 All-Star has missed a lot of time this season but has gone Over this number in eight of his past 11 games. Williams also averaged 21.4 points in last year’s playoffs. The Spurs are going to focus on Gilgeous-Alexander, so others will need to rally. The SportsLine props model pegs Williams for 18.1 points in Game 1.
Victor Wembanyama Under 12.5 rebounds
This is a pretty high line for Wemby, and the props model is projecting him to grab 11.6 rebounds. He has been dominant in the postseason and is averaging 10.7 boards in the playoffs after grabbing 11.5 in the regular season. The 2023 first overall pick has gone Over this number in five of his past 10 games. This series is going to be a battle, and OKC is going to do everything it can to keep The Alien in check. It might not totally succeed, but the model is going Under on this rebound line.